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The Journals of Gerontology: Series A

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Journals of Gerontology: Series A's content profile, based on 25 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Prediabetes and glycemic transitions as determinants of frailty and functional decline in adults aged 50 years and older: A longitudinal analysis from five multinational aging cohorts

Malagon-Liceaga, A.; Basile-Alvarez, M. R.; Fermin-Martinez, C. A.; Ramirez-Rivera, D. L.; Perezalonso Espinosa, J.; Diaz-Sanchez, J. P.; Garcia-Gonzalez, S. B.; Carrillo-Herrera, K. B.; Cabrera-Quintana, L. A.; Antonio-Villa, N. E.; Gomes-Goncalves, N.; Garcia-Pena, C.; Bello-Chavolla, O. Y.

2026-04-24 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351540 medRxiv
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Background: Prediabetes is highly prevalent in older adults and is characterized by heterogeneous clinical trajectories, including regression to normoglycemia and progression to diabetes. While prediabetes has been associated with impaired physical function and frailty, the longitudinal impact of both a single diagnosis and dynamic glycemic transitions on functional outcomes remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate associations between baseline prediabetes and glycemic transitions over time with trajectories of functional capacity and frailty in older adults. Methods: We conducted a pooled analysis of harmonized data from five nationally representative longitudinal aging cohorts (MHAS, HRS, CHARLS, ELSA, CRELES) within the Gateway to Global Aging Data, including adults aged [≥]50 years with [≥]1 HbA1c measurements. Prediabetes was defined per ADA criteria (HbA1c 5.7-6.4%). Functional outcomes included activities of daily living (ADL), instrumental ADL (IADL), and frailty assessed using Fried phenotype, FRAIL scale, and a deficit-accumulation Frailty Index (FI). Mixed-effects Poisson models estimated incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for baseline prediabetes, while generalized estimating equations assessed time-varying glycemic status and transition trajectories. Models were adjusted for age, sex, cohort, and time-varying covariates, with sensitivity analyses including BMI, smoking, and alcohol intake. Findings: Among 18,571 participants (median follow-up 13.6 years), baseline prediabetes was associated with increased progression of functional deficits and frailty compared with normoglycemia, including higher FI values and accelerated FI progression. Prediabetes was associated with higher incidence of ADL, IADL, and multimorbidity deficits from early follow-up, although time-dependent changes in incidence rates were not significant. In time-varying analyses (n=7,840), both prediabetes and diabetes were associated with higher incidence of functional deficits compared with normoglycemia, with diabetes showing the strongest effects across all outcomes. Diabetes was associated with greater FI burden and accelerated progression, whereas prediabetes showed a smaller increase, with attenuation over time. Among individuals with baseline prediabetes, regression to normoglycemia occurred in 20.8% and was associated with increased incidence of ADL and frailty deficits. In contrast, progression to diabetes occurred in 24.3%, and was associated with lower risk of incident ADL and Fried frailty deficits compared to stable prediabetes. Interpretation: Prediabetes is associated with increased risk of functional decline, frailty, and deficit accumulation in older adults, independent of progression to diabetes. Regression to normoglycemia was associated with higher risk of functional deterioration. These findings suggest that prediabetes reflects a state of metabolic vulnerability linked to biological aging rather than solely a precursor to diabetes and highlights a need to reframe its clinical significance in older populations. Funding: This research was supported by Instituto Nacional de Geriatria in Mexico. Keywords: Prediabetes; Glycemic transitions; Frailty; Functional decline; Aging; Multimorbidity

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T lymphocyte regulatory cytokines predict frailty in older adults

Akie, T. E.; Loew, E.; Huang, Z.; Neff, H. A.; Michaels, O. P.; Haran, J. P.

2026-04-20 immunology 10.64898/2026.04.16.716397 medRxiv
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Frailty is a multi-system syndrome causing increased susceptibility to health insults in older adults. Immune system dysregulation and inflammaging have emerged as mechanisms that may affect multiple organ systems in the frailty syndrome. This present study seeks to define the immune state in community-dwelling adults suffering from frailty. We evaluated a subgroup of 169 individuals enrolled in the Gut-brain Alzheimers disease Inflammation and Neurocognitive Study (GAINS). Participants in the GAINS study were scored for frailty using the Clinical Frail Scale. A panel of 27 inflammatory cytokines was analyzed from the serum of each participant. Frailty was present in 33 (19.5%) of the cohort, and was correlated with age, malnutrition, and cognitive assessments. Statistical analysis adjusting for clinical covariates revealed higher serum levels of IL-2, IL-10, and IL-17 in frail patients. Using machine learning classification, we developed a predictive model of frailty with strong discriminative performance (AUC 0.78). Individual element analysis via Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) revealed that inflammatory markers had the greatest influence on the model, and IL-7 was the single most important element in the prediction of frailty. Together, our data demonstrate a novel pattern in which T-cell regulatory inflammatory molecules as mediators of frailty, implicating cellular immunity as a potential mechanism of dysfunctional aging.

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A Systems Pharmacology Model of Ageing Identifies Optimal Combination Therapies With Secondary Benefits on Weight Loss and Metabolic Health

Goryanin, I.; Damms, B.; Goryanin, I.

2026-04-23 pharmacology and therapeutics 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351392 medRxiv
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Background: Ageing is a systems level biological process underlying the onset and progression of multiple chronic disorders. Rather than arising from a single pathway, age related decline reflects interacting disturbances in metabolic regulation, inflammation, nutrient sensing, cellular stress responses, and tissue repair. Although GLP1 receptor agonists, sodium glucose cotransporter2 inhibitors, metformin, and rapamycin are usually evaluated against disease-specific endpoints. Objective: To develop an SBML compliant quantitative systems pharmacology model in which ageing is the primary pharmacological endpoint and to evaluate which combination therapy provides the greatest benefit for both metabolic and ageing related outcomes. Methods: We developed model comprising four layers: a metabolic/pharmacodynamic layer describing weight loss, HbA1c reduction, and nausea with tolerance; a drug layer capturing class-specific effects of GLP1 agonists, sodium glucose cotransporter2 inhibitors, metformin, and rapamycin; an ageing layer representing damage accumulation, repair capacity, frailty, and biological age gap; and a biomarker layer generating trajectories and estimated glucose disposal rate. Calibration was staged across semaglutide clinical endpoints. Bayesian hierarchical meta analysis, global sensitivity analysis, and practical identifiability analysis were used to assess robustness and interpretability. Results: The model reproduced semaglutide efficacy and tolerability dynamics and supported distinct drug-class profiles across metabolic and ageing axes. Rapamycin showed minimal glycaemic effect but emerged as a dominant driver of repair related ageing outcomes. Combination simulations predicted two distinct optima: one favouring metabolic improvement and one favouring ageing related benefit. Conclusion: The model supports the view that metabolic and ageing optimization are mechanistically distinct objectives and that weight loss and glycaemic improvement alone may be insufficient surrogates for health span benefit.

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Bone microarchitecture and material properties decline differently across midlife for male and female F344 x BN F1 rats

Hasskamp, H.; Keim, E.; Brown, K.; Sucher, S.; Heveran, C. M.; Martin, S. A.

2026-04-21 physiology 10.64898/2026.04.16.719016 medRxiv
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While bone mineral density (BMD) remains the clinical standard for assessing age-related fracture risk, accumulating evidence indicates that bone quality, including matrix properties and microarchitecture, contributes to fracture susceptibility in ways not captured by BMD alone. As matrix-targeted therapeutics emerge, preclinical models that exhibit translationally relevant bone quality changes are needed. Here, we evaluated the Fischer 344 x Brown Norway (F344xBN) F1 rat, a strain characterized by hybrid vigor and non-pathological aging, as a model for studying matrix-related mechanisms of skeletal aging. Femurs from male and female rats aged 7, 15, and 22 months were analyzed to quantify age- and sex-dependent changes in bone microarchitecture, fracture resistance, and matrix properties. Microcomputed tomography analyses revealed sexually dimorphic aging trajectories. From 7 to 22 months, females exhibited moderate declines in trabecular microarchitecture and no change in cortical porosity, whereas males showed pronounced trabecular deterioration and increased cortical porosity. Whole-bone flexural testing demonstrated age-related declines in material properties that were not attributable to changes in geometry, while females maintained geometry-scaled bone strength. Both sexes exhibited reduced bone toughness with age. Raman spectroscopy identified matrix-level alterations in males by 15 months, whereas systemic markers of bone turnover remained unchanged across age or sex. Together, these findings indicate that males exhibit combined tissue-scale and whole-bone deterioration by midlife, while females exhibit declining fracture resistance preceding substantial cortical bone loss or overt matrix deterioration. These results support the F344xBN F1 rat as a translational model for investigating matrix-driven skeletal aging. Lay summaryF344 x BN F1 hybrid rats provide a healthy, matrix-driven skeletal aging model. This strain exhibits distinct aging trajectories dependent on sex. Strength and toughness decrease in both sexes by midlife. Fracture resistance declines in females prior to substantial bone loss.

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Educational Inequalities in Well-Being in Later Life in Germany: The Role of Health Behaviours and Health Literacy

Franzese, F.; Bergmann, M.; Burzynska, A.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351388 medRxiv
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Socioeconomic inequalities in health and well-being are a major public health concern, particularly in ageing populations. Education is a key determinant shaping multiple aspects of health outcomes. We used cross-sectional data from wave 9 of the German sample (n=4,148) of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to test whether formal education is associated with well-being in later adulthood, with health literacy, self-rated health, and preventive health behaviours as possible mediators. Our results showed that education was positively associated with greater well-being, but only via indirect pathways. Specifically, self-rated health, health literacy, and fruit and vegetable consumption mediated the relationship between education and well-being accounting for 54.7, 24.7, and 12.6 percent of the total effect, respectively. In addition, there were significant positive correlations between education and health literacy, as well as high-intensity physical activity, daily fruit and vegetable consumption, more preventive health check-ups, and less smoking. In contrast, alcohol consumption was more common among those with higher levels of education. All health behaviours and health literacy were correlated directly or indirectly (i.e., mediated by health) with well-being. These findings highlight the importance of examining indirect pathways linking education to well-being in later life. Interventions aimed at improving health literacy and promoting healthy behaviours may help reduce educational inequalities in quality of life among older adults.

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The Immunoglobulin G Glycome: A Modifiable Biomarker and Functional Effector of Aging, Disease, and Mortality

Mijakovac, A.; Butz, E.; Vuckovic, F.; Frkatovic Hodzic, A.; Rapcan, B.; Kifer, D.; Deris, H.; Radovani Trbojevic, B.; Luksic, F.; Cindric, A.; Gudelj, I.; simunic Briski, N.; Josipovic, G.; Stara Yuksel, Z.; catic, J.; saler, F.; Szavits-Nossan, J.; Hedin, C. R. H.; simunovic, J.; Borosak, I.; Kristic, J.; Monteiro-Martins, S.; Pribic, T.; Hanic, M.; Pucic-Bakovic, M.; Trbojevic-Akmacic, I.; stambuk, T.; stambuk, J.; Martinic Kavur, M.; Fancovic, M.; Cvetko, A.; Pezer, M.; Polasek, O.; Gornik, O.; Kiprov, D.; Verdin, E.; Younggren, B.; Newson, L.; Menni, C.; Steves, C. J.; Spector, T. D.; Hal

2026-04-23 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.21.26351390 medRxiv
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Glycosylation is a key structural modification of immunoglobulin G (IgG) that modulates its effector functions and has multiple roles in balancing inflammation. Altered IgG glycosylation has been reported in many diseases, often years before clinical manifestation, suggesting its causal role and biomarker potential. Here, we analyzed IgG glycome composition in 20,405 individuals from 42 different studies processed at the Genos Glycoscience Research Laboratory between 2008 and 2025. Across nearly all diseases, specific IgG glycome profiles reflected accelerated biological aging. Accelerated glycan aging was strongly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, independent of established clinical risk factors and potential confounders. Moreover, interventions known to reduce mortality risk, including hormone replacement therapy, therapeutic plasma exchange and caloric restriction, were associated with reversal of glycan aging. Given their role in modulating low-grade systemic inflammation, IgG glycans may represent a functional link between chronic inflammation, aging, disease susceptibility and all-cause mortality.

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The Mediterranean Diet is Associated with Higher Arterial Elasticity over Prefrontal Cortex in Older Adults

Simpson, F. M.; Johnson, J.; Kalamala, P.; Fabiani, M.; Murphy, K.; Wade, A.; Harvey, A.; Ware, N.; Hunter, M.; Mellow, M. L.; Barker, D.; Collins, C.; Low, K.; Gratton, G.; Keage, H.; Smith, A. E.; Karayanidis, F.

2026-04-22 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351341 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTIONHealthful dietary patterns may attenuate dementia risk by preserving cerebrovascular health. Prior work has focused on systemic arterial stiffness, but cerebrovascular measures may be more sensitive to neuroprotective effects of diet. We examined associations between Mediterranean diet adherence, prefrontal cortex (PFC) arterial elasticity, and cognition in older adults. METHODSParticipants were 198 older adults (58% female; mean age 65.6 years) from the Newcastle ACTIVate cohort. Mediterranean Diet (MedDiet) scores were derived from the Australian Eating Survey food frequency questionnaire. Pulse Relaxation Function (PReFx), an index of PFC arterial elasticity, was measured using pulse Diffuse Optical Tomography. Cognition was assessed with CANTAB and a cued task-switching paradigm. RESULTSHigher MedDiet was associated with higher PFC arterial elasticity. MedDiet was not associated with cognition, and PReFx did not mediate diet-cognition associations. DISCUSSIONGreater Mediterranean diet alignment was cross-sectionally associated with PFC arterial elasticity, suggesting a pathway through which diet may influence brain health in ageing.

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Tissue-specific divergence in sex-biased DNA methylation across the lifespan

Abeysooriya, M. D.; Hiam, D.; Voisin, S.; Eynon, N.; Ziemann, M.; Lamon, S.

2026-04-21 genetics 10.64898/2026.04.16.719093 medRxiv
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BackgroundAgeing is a sex-specific process characterised by a progressive decline in physiological integrity. DNA methylation represents a primary epigenetic hallmark of ageing, yet sex-specific patterns of epigenetic ageing within and across tissues remain poorly understood. This study aims to address these gaps through an integrated analysis of sex-moderated epigenetic ageing across eight human tissues. MethodsA total of 137 DNA methylation datasets comprising over 36,000 individuals aged 10-114 years were analysed using a meta-analytic workflow to identify age-associated differentially methylated positions (aDMPs) and regions (aDMRs), meta-regression to assess sex moderation, and pathway enrichment analyses to interpret functional relevance. FindingsIndividual tissues displayed distinct age-related methylation trajectories, but some DMP sites showed consistent hyper- or hypomethylation across tissues. Across tissues, we identified 68,630 aDMPs (10%) robustly associated with ageing. Age-associated changes at the regional level were less common, with only 80 robust age-associated aDMRs detected across tissues, representing 0.09% of analysed regions. Sex moderation was observed for only 16 aDMPs (0.002%), indicating that sex effects on age-associated DNA methylation are largely tissue-specific rather than shared across tissues. InterpretationOur findings indicate that age-associated DNA methylation changes predominantly occur at isolated CpG sites rather than extended genomic regions and are strongly dependent on tissue and genomic context. The minimal overlap of sex-moderated methylation signals across tissues suggests that age-related sex differences at the epigenetic level are more likely attributable to tissue- and cell-type-specific variation rather than to broadly conserved epigenetic mechanisms shared across tissues. FundingThis study was funded by an Australian Research Council (ARC) Discovery project (DP200101830). Severine Lamon was funded by an ARC Future Fellowship (FT210100278). Nir Eynon was funded by NHMRC Investigator Grant (APP1194159), and a Hevolution/AFAR New Investigator Award in Aging Biology and Geroscience Research. Mandhri D. Abeysooryia was supported by an Australian Government Research Training Program (RTP) Scholarship. Research in context Evidence before this studyDNA methylation is widely recognised as a central epigenetic hallmark of ageing. Previous research has demonstrated that some age-related methylation changes are conserved across tissues, forming the basis of pan-tissue epigenetic clocks. Most studies to date have primarily examined age effects in isolation. Although biological sex influences ageing trajectories and susceptibility to nearly all age-related diseases, sex-moderated epigenetic ageing has received limited investigation. Specifically, pan-tissue clocks, including GrimAge and PhenoAge, are "sex-aware" but were trained and validated in mixed-sex cohorts, limiting their capacity to disentangle tissue-specific sex effects. Consequently, it remains unclear whether sex-moderated epigenetic ageing signals are shared across tissues or are tissue-specific. Added value of this studyThis study provides a large-scale, comprehensive multi-tissue analysis of sex-moderated epigenetic ageing, integrating 137 DNA methylation datasets across eight human tissues and more than 36,000 male and female individuals spanning the lifespan. Our findings show that while age-associated methylation changes are widespread at the CpG level, sex-moderated effects are rare and largely tissue-specific, with minimal overlap across tissues. Implications of all the available evidenceTogether, the available evidence indicates that epigenetic ageing is predominantly driven by shared, conserved age-related methylation changes, whereas sex differences in epigenetic ageing are modest and context dependent. These sex-related effects are more likely to reflect tissue- and cell-type-specific variation rather than widespread, shared mechanisms. This underscores the need to develop sex-specific epigenetic clocks and to conduct longitudinal cohort and intervention studies to more precisely characterise sex-specific dynamics of epigenetic ageing across tissues.

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Plasma inflammatory markers and brain white matter microstructure in late middle-aged and older adults

Mishra, S.; Pettigrew, C.; Ugonna, C.; Chen, N.-k.; Frye, J. B.; Doyle, K. P.; Ryan, L.; Albert, M.; Ho, S. G.; Moghekar, A.; Soldan, A.; Paitel, E. R.

2026-04-22 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351124 medRxiv
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Chronic inflammation is a common feature of aging and is observed across various age-related neurodegenerative diseases, including Alzheimers disease (AD). It has, however, been challenging to develop measurements of brain structure directly linked to peripheral measures of neuroinflammation. This cross-sectional study examined whether plasma levels of markers related to inflammation are associated with diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (dMRI) measures of white matter microstructure: mean diffusivity (MD) and Neurite Orientation Dispersion and Density Imaging (NODDI) free water fraction (FWF) and orientation dispersion index (ODI). Participants included 457 dementia-free individuals (mean age=63.82, SD=7.63). Blood plasma markers related to inflammation included two measures of systemic inflammation, (1) high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (CRP), and (2) a composite of pro-inflammatory cytokines (IL-1, IL-1{beta}, IL-2, IL-6, IL-8, TNF-, TNF-{beta}), as well as (3) glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), a measure of astrocytic activation. Higher cytokine composite levels were associated with higher values of all three measures (FWF, ODI, MD) in cerebral white matter, and with higher ODI in the cerebellar peduncles. Higher CRP levels were associated with higher ODI in cerebral and cerebellar white matter. Associations with GFAP were not significant after adjusting for multiple comparisons. Results were consistent after accounting for plasma biomarkers of AD pathology (p-tau181/A{beta}42). Thus, higher levels of peripheral pro-inflammatory markers are associated with white matter microstructure (higher FWF, ODI, and MD), supporting the view that these dMRI-based metrics are sensitive to inflammatory processes. Additionally, the sensitivity of dMRI-based measures to inflammation may differ by inflammatory marker types.

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Assessing medication-related burden and medication adherence among older patients from Central Nepal: A machine learning approach

Giri, R.; Agrawal, R.; Lamichhane, S. R.; Barma, S.; Mahatara, R.

2026-04-23 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.04.22.26351447 medRxiv
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We are pleased to submit our Original article entitled "Assessing medication-related burden and medication adherence among older patients from Central Nepal: A machine learning approach" for consideration in your esteemed journal. In this paper, we assessed medication burden using validated Living with medicines Questionnaire (LMQ-3) and medication adherence using Adherence to Medication refills (ARMS) Scale. In this paper we analysed our result through machine learning approach in spite of traditional statistical approach to identify the complex factors influencing both. Six ML architectures (Ordinary Least Square, LightGBM, Random Forest, XGBoost, SVM, and Penalized linear regression) were employed to predict ARMS and LMQ scores using various socio-demographic, clinical and medication-related predictive features. Model explainability was provided through SHAP (Shapley Additive exPlanations). Our study identified the moderate medication burden with moderate non-adherence among older adults. Requiring assistance for medication and polypharmacy were the strongest drivers for the medication burden and non-adherence. The high predictive accuracy by ML suggests the appropriate clinical intervention like deprescribing to cope with the high prevalent medication burden and non-adherence among older adults in Nepal.

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Diminished sex hormone levels influence the risk of skewed X chromosome inactivation

Roberts, A. L.; Osterdahl, M. F.; Sahoo, A.; Pickles, J.; Franklin-Cheung, C.; Wadge, S.; Mohamoud, N. A.; Morea, A.; Amar, A.; Morris, D. L.; Vyse, T. J.; Steves, C. J.; Small, K. S.

2026-04-22 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351303 medRxiv
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BackgroundX chromosome inactivation (XCI) is the mechanism which randomly silences one X chromosome to equalise gene expression between 46, XX females and 46, XY males. Though XCI is expected to result in a random pattern of mosaicism across tissues, some females display a significantly unbalanced ratio in immune cells, termed XCI-skew, in which [&ge;]75% of cells have the same X inactivated. XCI-skew is associated with adverse health outcomes and its prevalence increases with age - particularly after midlife - yet the specific risk factors have yet to be identified. The menopausal transition, which is driven by profound shifts in sex hormone levels, has significant impact on chronic disease risk yet the molecular and cellular effects are incompletely understood. We hypothesised that the menopausal transition may impact XCI-skew. MethodsUsing XCI data measured in blood-derived DNA from 1,395 females from the TwinsUK population cohort, along with questionnaires, genetic data, and sex hormone measures, we carried out a cross-sectional study to assess the impact of the menopausal transition and sex hormones on XCI-skew. ResultsWe demonstrate that early menopause (<45yrs) is associated with increased risk of XCI-skew. In subset analyses across those who had a surgically induced or natural menopause, we find the association restricted to those who underwent a surgical menopause. We next identify a low polygenic score (PGS) for testosterone levels is significantly associated with XCI-skew, which we replicate in an independent dataset (n=149), while a PGS for age at natural menopause is not associated. Finally, using longitudinal measures across two time points spanning [~]18 years we show XCI-skew is a stable cellular phenotype that typically increases over time. DiscussionThese data represent the first environmental and genetic risk factors of XCI-skew, both of which implicate endogenous sex hormone levels, particularly testosterone. We propose XCI-skew may have clinical relevance in postmenopausal females.

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Proteomic Age Acceleration in Multiple Sclerosis Precedes Symptom Onset and Associates with Severity

Siavoshi, F.; Candia, J.; Ladakis, D. C.; Dewey, B. E.; Filippatou, A.; Smith, M. D.; Sotirchos, E. S.; Saidha, S.; Prince, J. L.; Abdelhak, A.; Mowry, E. M.; Calabresi, P. A.; Walker, K. A.; Fitzgerald, K. C.; Bhargava, P.

2026-04-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350634 medRxiv
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Biological aging is accelerated in people with multiple sclerosis, but whether such acceleration occurs during the pre-symptomatic phase or varies by organ system is understudied. We analyzed two independent proteomics datasets profiled using distinct platforms: the Johns Hopkins cohort profiled using the SomaScan platform (348 multiple sclerosis/49 age-matched controls) and the Department of Defense cohort profiled using the Olink platform (134 multiple sclerosis/79 age-matched controls), including 117 pre-symptomatic samples from people with multiple sclerosis (median lead time: 4.0 years), to estimate systemic and organ-specific proteomic age gaps using established clocks in pre-symptomatic and symptomatic phases, and assess their associations with severity. In the Johns Hopkins cohort, people with multiple sclerosis demonstrated acceleration of systemic ({beta}=2.2, 95% CI 1.2-3.2, P<0.001, FDR<0.001), brain ({beta}=1.7, 95% CI 0.6-2.7, P=0.003, FDR=0.01), muscle ({beta}=2.5, 95% CI 1.3-3.7, P<0.001, FDR<0.001), and immune age ({beta}=1.8, 95% CI 0.6-2.9, P=0.003, FDR=0.01), with findings reproduced in the Department of Defense cohort for systemic ({beta}=0.7, 95% CI 0.0-1.4, P=0.04, FDR=0.34) and brain age (3.2 years, 95% CI 2.1-4.3, P<0.001, FDR<0.001). Proteomic age acceleration was evident prior to symptom onset [systemic: ({beta}=1.0, 95% CI 0.4-1.7, P=0.002, FDR=0.02); brain: ({beta}=2.4, 95% CI 1.2-3.7, P<0.001, FDR=0.002)], whereas no immune age acceleration was detected before or after onset. Higher systemic age gap was associated with greater global Age-Related Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score ({beta}=0.14, 95% CI 0.05-0.24, P=0.005, FDR=0.03) and slower walking speed ({beta}=0.02, 95% CI 0.01-0.03, P=0.006, FDR=0.04), while higher muscle age gap was associated with greater global Age-Related Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score ({beta}=0.17, 95% CI 0.10-0.24, P<0.001, FDR<0.001), poorer manual dexterity ({beta}=0.28, 95% CI 0.04-0.52, P=0.03, FDR=0.30), slower walking speed ({beta}=0.02, 95% CI 0.01-0.03, P=0.002, FDR=0.02), lower peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer ({beta}= -0.26, 95% CI -0.41 to -0.10, P=0.001, FDR=0.02) and ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer thicknesses ({beta}= -0.35; 95% CI -0.65 to -0.05; P=0.02, FDR=0.30). Higher brain age gap was associated with several imaging measures, including lower whole-brain ({beta}= -0.002, 95% CI -0.003 to -0.001, P=0.002, FDR=0.02), and lower peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer thickness ({beta}= -0.21, 95% CI -0.39 to -0.03, P=0.02, FDR=0.10). Proteomic age acceleration in multiple sclerosis is detectable years before symptom onset and distinct organ-specific aging signatures are associated with disease severity. Proteomic aging may provide a biologically informative marker of early disease processes and a clinically relevant readout of disease heterogeneity.

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Weight Trajectories and Cancer Risk: A Pooled Cohort Study

Nilsson, A.; da Silva, M.; Le, H. T.; Haggstrom, C.; Wahlstrom, J.; Michaelsson, K.; Trolle Lagerros, Y.; Sandin, S.; Magnusson, P. K.; Fritz, J.; Stocks, T.

2026-04-24 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.23.26351553 medRxiv
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Excess body weight has been associated with increased cancer risk, but the role of weight change across adulthood remains unclear. We examined body weight trajectories from ages 17 to 60 and their associations with site-specific cancer incidence. Data were based on the ODDS study, a pooled, nationwide cohort study in Sweden, with data on weight spanning 1911 to 2020, and cancer follow-up through 2023. Weight trajectories were estimated with linear mixed effects models in individuals with at least three weight measurements. Cox regressions estimated hazard ratios for associations between weight trajectories and established and potentially obesity-related cancers. Fifth versus first quintile of weight change was associated with many cancers, most strongly with esophageal adenocarcinoma in men (HR 2.25; 95% CI 1.66-3.04), liver cancer in men (HR 2.67; 95% CI 2.15-3.33), endometrial cancer in women (HR 3.78; 95% CI 3.09-4.61), and pituitary tumors in both sexes (men: HR 3.13 [95% CI 2.13-4.61]; women: HR 2.13 [95% CI 1.41-3.22]). Associations varied by sex and age. Heavier weight at age 17 years and earlier obesity onset were also associated with higher cancer incidence. These findings highlight the importance of a life-course approach to weight management and support sex- and age-targeted cancer prevention strategies.

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Epithelial function of the circadian clock gene, Bmal1, in regulating the mucosa.

Taleb, Z.; Edwards, C.; Wan, R.; Fatmah, M.; Haireek, M.; Wang, H.; Khan, W. I.; Karpowicz, P.

2026-04-20 physiology 10.64898/2026.04.15.718752 medRxiv
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Circadian rhythms, 24-hour repeating oscillations in daily physiology, are implicated in maintaining intestinal homeostasis. These rhythms are driven by the circadian clock, a molecular timekeeper found throughout cells of the body, including those of the intestinal epithelium. Loss of clock function has been found to worsen colitis; however, it is not clear how the clock impacts regeneration which enables a tissue to return to its homeostatic set point following an injury. To investigate these questions, we used a conditional knockout of the core clock gene, Bmal1, in mouse colon epithelial cells. Our data show that prior to injury Bmal1 promotes colon mucus production, which increases in thickness and within goblet cells when mice are active and begin feeding. Bmal1 loss lowers mucus production but does not drive an apparent tissue phenotype until the system is injured and regenerates itself. In this context, Bmal1 epithelial loss drives a male-specific colitis phenotype and a delay in the ability of colon epithelial cells of both male and female mice to resolve injury to return to their homeostatic set point. Our data suggest that epithelial sex-specific clock rhythms are needed for optimal colon barrier homeostasis.

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Proteomic Insights into Lp(a) Cardiovascular Mechanisms: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Tomasi, J.; Xu, H.; Zhang, L.; Carey, C. E.; Schoenberger, M.; Yates, D. P.; Casas, J.

2026-04-22 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.04.20.26351299 medRxiv
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Background: Elevated lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] is a known risk factor for several cardiovascular-related diseases established from multiple genetic and observational studies. However, the underlying mechanisms mediating the effects of Lp(a) levels on cardiovascular disease risk and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) are unclear. The aim of this study was to identify proteins downstream of Lp(a) using mendelian randomization (MR) - a genetic causal inference approach. Methods: A two-sample MR was performed by initially identifying Lp(a) genetic instruments based on data from genome wide association studies (GWAS) of Lp(a) blood concentrations. These instruments were then tested for association with proteins from proteomic pQTL data (Olink from UK Biobank, 2940 proteins and SomaScan from deCODE, 4907 proteins). Results: A total of 521 proteins associated with Lp(a) were identified. Using pathway enrichment analysis, the following MACE-relevant pathways were identified comprising a total of 91 Lp(a) downstream proteins: oxidized phospholipid-related, chemotaxis of immune cells and endothelial cell activation, pro-inflammatory monocyte activation, neutrophil activity, coagulation, and lipid metabolism. Conclusion: The results suggest that the influence of Lp(a) treatments is primarily through modifying inflammation rather than lipid-lowering, thus providing insight into the mechanistic framework which mediates the effects of elevated Lp(a) on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

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Salivary dim-light melatonin onset in early Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis predicts functional decline, respiratory symptom emergence, and survival

Bombaci, A.; Iadarola, A.; Giraudo, A.; Fattori, E.; Sinagra, S.; Magnino, A.; Calvo, A.; Chio', A.; Cicolin, A.

2026-04-25 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.24.26351642 medRxiv
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Background: Sleep wake and circadian disturbances are increasingly recognised in people living with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (plwALS), but endogenous circadian phase timing and its prognostic significance in early disease remain unclear. We assessed whether salivary dim-light melatonin onset (DLMO), an objective marker of central circadian phase, is altered in early plwALS and whether it provides prognostic information. Methods: In this prospective longitudinal observational study, plwALS within 18 months of symptom onset underwent home-based salivary melatonin sampling under dim light conditions at six predefined time points around habitual sleep onset (HSO). Melatonin profiles were modeled using cubic smoothing splines, and DLMO was defined as the first time the fitted curve reached 3 pg/mL. Clinical, respiratory, and sleep assessments were collected at baseline (T0) and after 6 months (T6); a subgroup repeated saliva sampling at T6. Age and sex matched controls underwent melatonin profiling. Associations with disease progression, incident respiratory symptoms, and survival/tracheostomy were examined using regressions and survival analyses. Results: Fifty plwALS were enrolled. Compared with controls, plwALS showed an earlier DLMO (20:24 vs 20:58; p=0.028) despite similar HSO and chronotype. Within ALS cohort, a later baseline DLMO correlated with worse functional/motor status, faster progression of disease, incident dyspnea/orthopnea by T6 (adjusted OR 3.02; p=0.017), and poorer survival/tracheostomy-free outcome. In re-sampled subgroup (n=28), DLMO and other melatonin-derived metrics did not change over 6 months. Conclusions: Circadian phase alterations are detectable in early ALS. Baseline DLMO may represent a non-invasive prognostic biomarker for progression, respiratory symptom emergence and survival, warranting validation in larger multicentre cohorts.

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Leronlimab a humanized anti-CCR5 monoclonal antibody ameliorates hepatic fibrosis in two preclinical fibrosis mouse models

Palmer, M.; Hashiguchi, T.; Arman, A. C.; Shirakata, Y.; Buss, N. E.; Lalezari, J. P.

2026-04-21 pharmacology and toxicology 10.64898/2026.04.17.719186 medRxiv
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BackgroundChemokine receptor type 5 (CCR5) is expressed on hepatic stellate cells (HSCs), which, together with fibroblasts, are major producers of extracellular matrix during liver fibrosis. Leronlimab is a humanized IgG4{kappa} monoclonal antibody that binds to CCR5. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the antifibrotic effects of leronlimab in three independent preclinical studies using two mouse models of liver fibrosis. MethodsIn STAM (Stelic Animal Model) model 1, leronlimab was administered at doses of 5 or 10 mg/kg/week for 3 weeks. STAM model 2 was conducted as a confirmatory study to validate the antifibrotic effect observed with the 10 mg/kg/week dose in STAM model 1. In a third study, a carbon tetrachloride (CCl)-induced liver fibrosis mouse model was used to evaluate leronlimab administered at 10 mg/kg/week for 3 weeks. An isotype-matched control antibody was included in all studies for comparison. Evaluations included liver enzymes and histological assessment of liver fibrosis. ResultsIn STAM model 1, leronlimab at 10 mg/kg/week significantly reduced fibrosis area compared with the isotype control (p = 0.0005). These findings were confirmed in STAM model 2 (p < 0.0001). Consistent antifibrotic effects were also observed in the CCl-induced liver fibrosis model (p = 0.0006). ConclusionsCollectively, these preclinical results demonstrate that CCR5 blockade by leronlimab is associated with a significant reduction of established liver fibrosis in multiple mouse models and support further evaluation of leronlimab as a potential therapeutic option, either as monotherapy or in combination regimens, for chronic liver diseases with fibrosis.

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Cardiomyocyte caveolae govern myocardial function and sex-dependent regulation of ventricular compliance and resilience via cavin-1

Quick, B. T.; Khoo, H. Y.; Bishop, T.; Russell, J. S.; Niogret, S.; Outhwaite, J. E.; Ho, U.; Griffiths, L. J.; Lu, Z.; Rae, J.; Palpant, N.; Parton, R. G.; Thomas, W. G.; Headrick, J. P.; Reichelt, M. E.

2026-04-21 physiology 10.64898/2026.04.17.717104 medRxiv
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AimsCaveolae are plasmalemmal microdomains regulating stretch-dependent, nitric oxide (NO), and other signalling pathways governing myocardial structure, function and resilience. We have reported that global deletion of the scaffold protein cavin-1 disrupts caveolar biogenesis and impairs ventricular compliance and tolerance to ischaemic injury. However, cardiomyocyte-specific and sex-dependent roles of cavin-1 and caveolar complexes remain unresolved. Methods and ResultsWe generated a floxed Cavin-1 transgenic mouse, enabling cardiomyocyte-specific knockdown via adeno-associated virus (AAV) mediated expression of iCre recombinase driven by a cardiac-specific troponin T promoter. Knockdown was confirmed by RNA, protein, and immunofluorescence analyses, and cardiac function was assessed via echocardiography, left ventricular pressure-volume (PV) catheterisation, and ex vivo PV analysis of perfused hearts. Conditionally deleted hearts and myocytes exhibited up to 50% knockdown of Cavin-1 mRNA together with 15% deficiency in muscle-specific Caveolin-3, 70% depletion of caveolae, and mislocalisation of NO synthase (NOS) within cardiomyocytes. This was associated with elevated heart rate and shortened PR interval; reduced intraventricular and systolic blood pressures and peripheral resistance; and sex-dependent impairment of ventricular filling (females only). Diastolic dysfunction was detectable ex vivo, to a greater extent in male vs. female hearts. Mechanisms were sex-dependent, linked to interstitial fibrosis in females and NOS overactivity (inhibited by 100 {micro}M L-NAME) in males. Female hearts also exhibited increased susceptibility to ischaemia-reperfusion injury. Coronary function appeared preserved in both sexes, with intact reactive hyperaemic responses. ConclusionThis model identifies cardiomyocyte caveolae and cavin-1 as key determinants of myocardial function and compliance, involving sex-dependent remodelling and NOS signalling. By linking cardiomyocyte disruption to whole-organ and -body dysfunction, this model provides mechanistic insight into impaired function in heart failure and ageing. Graphical Abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=117 SRC="FIGDIR/small/717104v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (37K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1aabf7forg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1026839org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@108ad11org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@9a6dfd_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG

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Post-Discharge Anti-Seizure Medication Use Improves Post-Stroke Survival: An Emulated Target Trial in Older Adults

Sankaranarayanan, M.; Donahue, M. A.; Brooks, J. D.; Sun, S.; Newhouse, J. P.; Blacker, D.; Haneuse, S.; Hernandez-Diaz, S.; Moura, L. M. V. R.

2026-04-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.17.26351149 medRxiv
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ObjectiveLevetiracetam is commonly prescribed for seizure prophylaxis after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and often continued beyond discharge. While its short-term effectiveness for preventing post-stroke seizures is established, it is unclear whether prolonged use improves survival, particularly in older adults. We estimated the effect of continued levetiracetam use on 90-day mortality among Medicare beneficiaries after AIS. MethodsUsing Traditional Medicare claims data (2008-2021), we identified beneficiaries aged [&ge;]66 years hospitalized for AIS who initiated outpatient levetiracetam within 90 days of discharge. After one month of continued post-stroke use of levetiracetam (start of follow-up), we compared 90-day mortality between patients with a new levetiracetam dispensation within a 14-day grace period post-follow up and those without one. We performed cloning, censoring and weighting to address immortal time bias and estimated standardized mortality risks, risk differences, and 95% confidence intervals (CI). ResultsAmong 3,212 eligible beneficiaries, 1,779 (55.4%) received a new levetiracetam dispensation within the 14-day grace period. Median age was 76 years (IQR 70-83); 57.8% were female. After adjustment for demographics, hospitalization characteristics, timing of initiation, and comorbidities, continued use was associated with lower 90-day mortality than discontinuation (53 vs 62 deaths per 1,000; risk difference -9 per 1,000; 95% CI: (-12,-5)). The reduction was observed primarily among patients aged [&ge;]75 years. SignificanceAmong older Medicare beneficiaries who initiated levetiracetam after AIS, continued outpatient use was associated with modestly lower 90-day mortality, particularly in those aged [&ge;]75 years. These findings suggest potential benefits of levetiracetam continuation beyond the immediate post-stroke period.

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Lipid A counteracts doxorubicin-induced systemic dysfunction by boosting mitochondrial activity

Nakaguma, Y.; Kato, Y.; Atef, Y.; Ito, T.; Nishimura, A.; Uesugi, M.; Kanda, Y.; Kunisawa, J.; Nishida, M.

2026-04-21 pharmacology and toxicology 10.64898/2026.04.16.719094 medRxiv
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Vaccine adjuvants are critical for enhancing immune responses and sustaining antibody production. Although their safety profiles are well established, assessments have largely focused on metabolic and excretory organs such as the liver and kidneys, with limited attention to the heart. Here, we systematically evaluated the cardiac effects of five representative adjuvants in mice: alum, MF59, AS03, Sigma Adjuvant Systems, and lipid A. None of the adjuvants impaired baseline cardiac contractile function. Notably, lipid A uniquely enhanced mitochondrial respiratory capacity in rat and human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes and promoted mitochondrial membrane hyperpolarization. We next examined its therapeutic potential in a doxorubicin (Dox)-induced heart failure model characterized by mitochondrial dysfunction. Co-administration of lipid A with influenza hemagglutinin (HA) antigen significantly ameliorated cardiac dysfunction. In parallel, lipid A prevented the Dox-induced decline in anti-HA antibody titers, an effect associated with preservation of splenic B cell populations. Collectively, these findings reveal a previously unappreciated cytoprotective dimension of lipid A, demonstrating that it not only potentiates immune responses but also counteracts chemotherapy-induced functional decline by enhancing mitochondrial activity.