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The Journals of Gerontology: Series A

◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match The Journals of Gerontology: Series A's content profile, based on 29 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Near infrared spectroscopy during non-ischaemic handgrip exercise reveals divergent muscle oxygenation signatures in mitochondrial disease and sarcopenia

Devine, H.; Brito da Silva, A.; Hillman, S.; Brownstein, C.; Smith, S.; Rao, K.; Pickett, S.; Turnbull, D.; Whittaker, R.; Hurst, C.; Witham, M. D.; Sayer, A. A.; Bulea, T.; Cooper, R.; Suetterlin, K.

2026-10-21 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.21.26364901 medRxiv
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Background: Mitochondrial dysfunction is a hallmark of ageing and is implicated in the pathogenesis of sarcopenia. Genetically confirmed mitochondrial disease provides a biologically definitive model of impaired oxidative phosphorylation against which novel functional assessments can be validated. We investigated whether a brief, submaximal, non-ischaemic intermittent isometric handgrip exercise protocol combined with Near Infra-Red Spectroscopy (NIRS) could detect distinct muscle oxygenation signatures in mitochondrial disease and sarcopenia. Methods: Adults with genetically confirmed mitochondrial disease (n=10, 7 female) and group-matched controls (n=19, 11 female), underwent assessment of maximal grip force, handgrip relaxation kinetics and a 3-minute intermittent submaximal isometric handgrip test (40% maximal voluntary contraction, 1Hz contraction/relaxation) with continuous force recording at 2000Hz and simultaneous NIRS. Findings were compared with 23 community-dwelling older adults from the Muscle Ageing and Sarcopenia Study (MASS) Lifecourse cohort (n=23, 13 female) including seven with probable or confirmed sarcopenia according to European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP2) criteria. Results: Participants with mitochondrial disease demonstrated an attenuated reduction in tissue saturation index (TSI) during exercise compared with controls (TSI % {middle dot} s150-180s: -59.9 {+/-} 94.5 vs -175.1 {+/-} 128.4; p=0.02). Total haemoglobin (THb) responses did not differ between groups (p=0.10). In contrast, participants with probable or confirmed sarcopenia showed exaggerated reduction in TSI compared with non-sarcopenic participants (TSI % {middle dot} s150-180s: -256.5 {+/-} 146.0 vs -121.2 {+/-} 95.2; p=0.05), while THb responses remained similar. The association between sarcopenia and TSI differed by sex (interaction coefficient -240, p=0.016), with greater TSI reductions observed in males with sarcopenia. Differences in TSI between mitochondrial disease and control groups were independent of age and sex. No statistically significant associations were observed between THb responses and age, sex or force production. Conclusions: A brief, non-ischaemic handgrip exercise protocol combined with NIRS identified divergent muscle oxygenation responses in mitochondrial disease and sarcopenia. The attenuated TSI response observed in genetically confirmed mitochondrial disease is consistent with impaired oxygen utilisation secondary to defective oxidative phosphorylation, whereas the exaggerated TSI reduction observed in sarcopenia suggests a distinct physiological mechanism, potentially involving impaired oxygen delivery, reduced muscle efficiency, or both. This portable and non-invasive approach has significant potential as a physiological biomarker for mechanistic studies and clinical trials in ageing and neuromuscular disease. More broadly, our findings demonstrate how biologically defined rare diseases can provide a powerful framework for interpreting mechanisms in common heterogeneous age-related conditions.

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Biological aging measured from electronic health records is associated with recovery following cardiothoracic surgery

Ryan, C. P.; Jung, J.; Kurlansky, P. A.; Marella, W.; Wang, H.; Moitra, V. K.; Belsky, D. W.

2026-10-19 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365756 medRxiv
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Biological aging, the decline in physiological resilience that increases our vulnerability to disease and death as we grow older, can be measured from standard clinical-laboratory panels. Measurement of biological aging from laboratory data embedded in electronic health records (EHRs) could enhance precision healthcare. However, suitability of EHR-embedded laboratory records for this purpose is uncertain. We evaluated feasibility of EHR biological age measurement in a cohort of n=4,313 cardiothoracic-surgery patients at a large US Hospital and tested whether measured biological aging was associated with patient outcomes. Patients who were biologically older prior to surgery more often died or experienced adverse outcomes as compared to those measured to be biologically younger. Postoperative biological-aging trajectories were associated with length of intensive-care-unit (ICU) stays and in-hospital death. EHR laboratory data provide an opportunity for scalable implementation of biological aging measurement within healthcare systems, with potential to enhance patient monitoring and risk stratification.

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Systemic and organ-specific proteomic aging clocks as predictors of cancer incidence and survival: insights from the Finnish Twin Cohort

Lukander, V. M.; Kaprio, J. M.; Wang, X.; Ollikainen, M.; Drouard, G.

2026-10-15 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365410 medRxiv
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Despite recent evidence of the ability of systemic and organ-specific proteomic aging clocks to predict a large range of age-related diseases, their utility in cancer research remains largely underexplored. In this study, we evaluated the predictive ability of systemic and organ-specific proteomic aging clocks for (i) all-cause mortality, (ii) cancer-related mortality, and (iii) cancer incidence in a sample of Finnish twins (N = 401, mean age at baseline 62.3 years) with Olink proteomic data. Participants were followed for a mean of 10.6 years (SD +- 1.6), with estimates from four systemic and 18 organ-specific proteomic aging clocks calculated at baseline. Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for sex and age at baseline identified 15 proteomic aging clocks as significant predictors of all-cause mortality (Ncases = 28) after multiple testing correction (FDR < 0.05), with 11 remaining significant after lifestyle adjustment (Ncases = 27). For several clocks, effect sizes were large, with hazard ratios (HR) approximately doubling per one standard deviation (SD) increase in clock estimates. In predicting cancer-related deaths among participants without a prior cancer diagnosis at baseline (Ncases = 9), only the Immune clock showed a significant positive association after multiple testing correction in basic (HR = 2.94, 95% CI: 1.88-4.59) and lifestyle-adjusted models (HR = 3.31, 95% CI: 1.78-6.17). No associations with cancer incidence (Ncases = 34 basic, Ncases = 31 adjusted) survived multiple testing correction, although several nominal associations were observed. In conclusion, our findings suggest that proteomic aging clocks are strong predictors of all-cause and cancer-specific mortality, independent of lifestyle factors. Proteomic aging clocks may further serve as valuable tools for stratifying cancers by mortality risk.

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Biological age measured by DNA methylation clocks and neurodegenerative diseases: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Kua, Z.; Tay, J. H.; Low, A.; Wang, W.; Yeo, B. T. T.; Dong, Y.; Kandiah, N.; Biessels, G. J.; Maier, A. B.

2026-10-21 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.21.26365867 medRxiv
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Hallmarks of biological ageing are closely interconnected with neurodegenerative diseases. Deoxyribonucleic acid methylation (DNAm) clocks quantify biological age and may serve as peripheral biomarkers of neurodegenerative diseases. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to examine associations between DNAm-based biological age metrics and neurodegenerative diseases. Six databases were systematically searched from 1st January 2011 to 15th April 2026 for studies reporting associations between DNAm-based ages and neurodegenerative diseases including all-cause dementia, Parkinson's Disease, Multiple Sclerosis, and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis. Correlated-and-hierarchical-effects meta-analyses were fitted using restricted maximum likelihood with Knapp-Hartung adjustment. Of 42,023 records screened, 37 observational studies (n=46365; 60.5% female; median of mean age 69.4 years [IQR 62.5-73.3)) and seven Mendelian randomization studies met inclusion criteria. In longitudinal meta-analyses, higher GrimAge epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) was significantly associated with higher dementia risk (HR per SD 1.11 [95% CI 1.02-1.20]; I^2 = 0.0%; p = 0.018), whereas Horvath1 EAA, Hannum EAA, PhenoAge EAA, and DunedinPACE were not significantly associated with dementia risk. Evidence for other neurodegenerative diseases were heterogeneous across clock generations and study designs. Mendelian randomization provided limited evidence for causality. Higher GrimAge EAA was the only DNAm age measure consistently predictive of higher all-cause dementia risk. Overall, however, DNAm age clocks show limited and inconsistent associations with neurodegenerative diseases, providing insufficient support for their use as disease biomarkers. These findings highlight the need to develop and independently validate disease-specific DNAm clocks and undertake pathway analyses to identify methylation changes associated with neurodegeneration and the biological processes they reflect.

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Alzheimers disease blood-based biomarkers in the Boston Latino Aging Study (BLAST): Associations with cognition and depressive symptoms

Tristao-Pereira, C.; Silva, G.; Lopez, K.; Ku, V.; Gonzalez, A.; Martinez, J. E.; Giudicessi, A.; Rowe, M.; Garcia, S. M.; Gonzalez Catalan, M.; Saldana, D.; Gatchel, J. R.; Ramirez Gomez, L.; Quiroz, Y. T.

2026-10-15 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.13.26365304 medRxiv
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Background: Blood-based biomarkers (BBMs) may facilitate early detection of Alzheimers disease (AD), yet data in Latino populations remain limited. We examined associations of plasma biomarkers with cognition and depressive symptoms in Spanish-speaking Latino older adults enrolled in the Boston Latino Aging Study (BLAST). Methods: Baseline data from 122 older adults without dementia were analyzed. Plasma AB42/40, brain-derived phosphorylated tau (p-tau) 217, neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) were measured using NULISA. Cognition was assessed with the Latin American Spanish version of the Preclinical Alzheimers Cognitive Composite (LAS-PACC5) and depressive symptoms with the Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS). Regression models were adjusted for age, sex, and education. Results: Cognitively impaired participants had higher p-tau217 and GFAP than cognitively normal participants. Higher p-tau217 and GFAP were associated with poorer LAS-PACC5 performance, while higher NfL was associated with greater depressive symptoms. AB42/40 showed no significant associations. Conclusions: Distinct biomarker associations with cognitive and emotional functioning support further longitudinal evaluation of BBMs for risk characterization in Latino older adults and potential disease monitoring applications.

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APOE ε4 Modifies the Association of Left Atrial Remodeling With Brain Aging

Badea, A.; Xu, J.; Laskowitz, D. T.; Badea, C. T.

2026-10-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365550 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: Whether APOE e4 modifies relationships between subclinical cardiac phenotypes and brain structure is unknown. METHODS: In Framingham Heart Study Offspring participants, we related antecedent echocardiographic remodeling (Examinations 4-6) to repeated brain MRI, and cardiac magnetic resonance phenotypes to regional cortical morphometry, testing cardiac x APOE e4 interactions with false-discovery-rate (FDR) correction and permutation testing of the regional screen. RESULTS: APOE e4 modified the association between antecedent left atrial (LA) remodeling and subsequent lateral ventricular expansion (beta=-0.00858, P=1.45 x 10^-4, q=0.0023; N=1,305; 3,787 MRI observations), the only FDR-significant result of 16 longitudinal tests, including with participant-specific MRI-time slopes (q=0.034); it weakened when intracranial volume x MRI time was modeled. Four regional ventricular cardiac x APOE e4 interactions met within-family FDR criteria, but their number was consistent with chance (permutation P=0.70). Maximum LA volume index showed an APOE e4-dependent association with left middle-occipital cortical-thickness variability (whole-brain q=0.017; permutation P=0.041) that persisted after ventricular adjustment. Cardiac phenotypes and trajectories showed no FDR-significant APOE e4-dependent associations with plasma Abeta42/40, p-tau181, GFAP, or NfL, and adjustment for these biomarkers changed the regional interactions by at most 3.2%. Allen Human Brain Atlas data showed cholesterol-biosynthesis enrichment in the right superior frontal cortex, implicated by the LV end-systolic volume interaction, but without convergent pathway evidence. DISCUSSION: APOE e4 modified atrial-brain relationships, with the strongest evidence linking antecedent atrial remodeling to later ventricular expansion. Replication with prespecified models is needed.

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Physical Frailty Accelerates Multimorbidity Accumulation Across Distinct Disease Patterns

Huang, Y.; Hu, Z.; Hao, M.; Li, X.; Tang, Y.; Jiang, S.; Wang, X.; Han, L.; Wang, J.; Li, Y.; Zhang, H.

2026-10-16 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365629 medRxiv
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Background Emerging evidence has linked frailty to individual chronic diseases, but whether it predicts a broad disease spectrum and accelerates multimorbidity accumulation over time remains unknown. This study aimed to systematically evaluate the associations of physical frailty with the burden of incident disease across a wide range of chronic conditions, and with the long-term rates of multimorbidity accumulation. Methods In this prospective cohort study of 466,864 UK Biobank participants , frailty status was assessed using the Fried frailty phenotype and categorized as robust, pre-frailty, or frailty. Chronic diseases were defined based on International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes, and disease patterns were identified using network analysis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the associations of frailty status with incident chronic diseases, and linear mixed models were used to assess the annual rate of chronic disease accumulation. Results During a median follow-up of 13.8 years (IQR: 13.1-14.5), 536 incident chronic diseases across multiple systems were recorded. Physical frailty was associated with a significantly increased risk of 458 incident diseases (Bonferroni-corrected P < 0.05/536). In the overall cohort, compared with robust participants, those with pre-frailty ({beta} = 0.266, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.264-0.267) and frailty ({beta} = 0.941, 95% CI: 0.936-0.946) exhibited significantly faster rates of multimorbidity accumulation. This accelerated multimorbidity accumulation was consistently observed across strata of baseline disease burden, including participant with 0 ({beta} = 0.644, 95% CI: 0.635-0.653), 1 ({beta} =0.748, 95% CI: 0.727-0.768), [&ge;] 2 ({beta} =0.940, 95% CI: 0.933-0.947) chronic conditions at baseline. Similar associations were also found across distinct disease patterns, including neurodegenerative, metabolic, and psychiatric patterns. Conclusions Physical frailty predicts a broad range of incident diseases and is associated with accelerated multimorbidity accumulation. Incorporating frailty assessment into prevention strategies may help mitigate the growing burden of multimorbidity.

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Change in gut microbiome precedes symptomatic Alzheimer's disease and is correlated with amyloid-beta accumulation in the brain

Shoubridge, A. P.; Manning, S. K.; Tan, S.; Kidson, S.; Richard, A.; Trinder, J.; Miller, S.; Laver, K.; Rahja, M.; Robertson, J.; Crotty, M.; Taylor, S. L.; Rogers, G. B.

2026-10-19 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365677 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: Alzheimer's disease (AD) begins with cerebral amyloid-beta (A{beta}) deposition decades before clinical symptoms. While the microbiota-gut-brain axis has been implicated in AD, its role in this preclinical phase remains unclear. We examined potential links between gut microbiome features and presymptomatic cerebral A{beta} burden. METHODS: Asymptomatic individuals (n=101, median age 70.0 years, 53% female) underwent cognitive assessment, cerebral A{beta} quantification, and stool metagenomic sequencing. Associations between microbial characteristics and A{beta} levels were performed using multivariable-adjusted ordinal logistic regression. RESULTS: Gut microbiota composition varied with A{beta} levels (p(perm)=0.03, R2=0.014). Higher A{beta} was associated with increased Alistipes communis, and decreased Anaerotignum faecicola and Eubacterium rectale, abundance (q<0.001). A{beta}-associated microbiome traits corresponded to lower biosynthetic capacity for {gamma}-aminobutyric acid, and systemic regulators of immunity and autophagy (q<0.01). DISCUSSION: Early A{beta} accumulation is associated with distinct gut microbial signatures and reduced neuroactive metabolic potential, identifying targets for potential preclinical AD intervention.

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Plasma Neurofilament Light Chain is Markedly Elevated in General Hospital Inpatients with Delirium

Kang, M. J.; Eratne, D.; Borchard, T.; Patel, K.; Malpas, C. B.; Dang, C.; Storer, M.; Bhalala, O. G.; Yu, J. J.; Santillo, A. F.; Forbes, M.; Zetterberg, H.; Farrand, S.; Loi, S. M.; Mitchell, P. B.; Hopwood, M.; Smith, J.; Chiang, C.; Velakoulis, D.

2026-10-20 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365854 medRxiv
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Objective: To determine whether plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) are elevated in hospitalised patients with delirium relative to patients with dementia and primary psychiatric disorders (PPD). Methods and analysis: This was a cross-sectional observational study conducted at the Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia, between April and October 2024, with comparator samples from a research biobank. In Phase 1 (Delirium Discovery Cohort), we measured plasma NfL and GFAP using the Single molecule array (Simoa) platform in hospitalised patients with delirium and compared them with dementia and PPD groups. Biomarker concentrations were the primary outcome and were compared using general linear models adjusted for age, sex, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, with bootstrapped confidence intervals. Discriminative performance was assessed as a secondary outcome using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. In Phase 2, we applied this threshold to independent dementia and PPD groups. Results: In Phase 1 (n =176), inpatients with delirium showed higher concentrations of both NfL and GFAP than patients with dementia ({beta} = 0.78; 95% CI [0.37, 1.20] and {beta} = 0.39 [0.07, 0.73] respectively) or PPD groups ({beta} = 1.17; [0.69, 1.66] and {beta} = 0.83 [0.51, 1.24] respectively). ROC curve analysis for differentiating delirium from dementia and PPD groups yielded an optimal NfL threshold of 24.1 pg/mL (AUC = 0.89, 96% sensitivity, 70% specificity). In comparison, GFAP showed lower accuracy (AUC = 0.85), and combining NfL with GFAP (AUC = 0.90) did not significantly improve performance. In Phase 2 (n = 154), the NfL threshold of > 24 pg/ml maintained strong performance (AUC = 0.95, 96% sensitivity, and 77% specificity). Conclusions: Plasma NfL shows promise as a biomarker for delirium in hospitalised patients, distinguishing it with high sensitivity from patients with dementia and PPD. Larger multicentre studies are needed to refine cut-offs, evaluate temporal dynamics, and determine integration into acute hospital delirium pathways.

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Restoring Physical Resilience: Consistent Functional and Sarcopenia Gains Across Two Vivifrail Cohorts

Fernandez-Ortega, J.; Loza-Herbella, J.; Rangel-Garcia, J. A.; Fernandez-Revelles, A. B.

2026-10-16 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365508 medRxiv
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Objectives: To evaluate change in physical function and probable sarcopenia following a 36-week community multicomponent exercise programme (Vivifrail model) across two consecutive cycles, and to assess the consistency of this change between cohorts. Study design: Quasi-experimental, single-arm, repeated-measures service evaluation. Ninety-two older adults (2025-2026 cohort; mean age 75.9 years, 88.0% women) completed baseline and post-intervention assessments; an independent 2024-2025 cohort (n = 86) was analysed jointly for replication (n = 178). Main outcome measures: Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) score (primary); Timed Up and Go (TUG), handgrip strength, 6-metre walk time and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) (secondary); probable sarcopenia (EWGSOP2), SPPB-based frailty category, and a fall-risk indicator computed identically in both cohorts. Results: SPPB improved by a mean of 1.33 points (Cohen's d = 0.96; p < .001), with concordant improvement in all four secondary outcomes (all q < .005). 72.8% reached the substantial minimal clinically important difference. Probable sarcopenia fell from 17.4% to 5.4% (p = .006), and frailty category shifted toward higher functional levels (p < .001). Effect sizes were consistent between cohorts for SPPB, handgrip and 6-metre walk; the Time x Cohort interaction was significant for TUG only. In the pooled sample, elevated fall risk fell from 19.7% to 11.2% (p = .002). Conclusions: A 36-week multicomponent exercise programme was associated with clinically meaningful, reproducible improvement in physical function and a reduction in probable sarcopenia across two independent cohorts. The single-arm design precludes causal inference.

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Longitudinal associations between neuropsychiatric symptoms, structural and perfusion MRI changes in older adults with Mild Cognitive Impairment

Lombardi, G.; Leung, C. C.-Y.; Burge, R.; Zelaya, F.; Bhattacharyya, S.; Velayudhan, L.

2026-10-19 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26364284 medRxiv
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Neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) are highly prevalent in Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI), conceptualized as an intermediate clinical state between normal aging and dementia. Although neuroimaging studies have reported associations between NPS and brain alterations in MCI, longitudinal evidence on NPS and their relationship with multimodal MRI measures remains limited. We aimed to investigate (1) longitudinal changes in NPS, volumetric assessment and measurement of regional cerebral blood flow (CBF) within the medial temporal lobe (MTL); (2) associations between longitudinal changes in MRI measures and NPS; (3) whether baseline MRI measures predicted longitudinal changes in NPS. Thirty individuals with MCI aged over 65 years were recruited, of whom eighteen followed up for a mean period of 29 {+/-} 8.9 months. There were significant reductions in total grey matter and white matter volumes, together with volume loss in the bilateral hippocampus, bilateral parahippocampal gyrus and right entorhinal cortex (pFDR[&le;]0.05) over the follow up period. Volume loss in the right parahippocampal gyrus was associated with increase in aggression (pFDR<0.01), and CBF increase in the right hippocampus and parahippocampal gyrus was associated with worsening in agitation (pFDR<0.01). Furthermore, lower baseline volume of the right entorhinal cortex was associated with increase in aggression, and lower baseline CBF in the right hippocampus and parahippocampal gyrus was associated with worsening of agitation (pFDR<0.05). Our findings highlight the importance of identifying NPS in individuals with MCI and the role of structural and perfusion MRI measures as promising biomarkers for monitoring disease progression and improving risk prediction of conversion to dementia.

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Short telomeres, but not accelerated epigenetic or proteomic age, increase fibrotic lung disease risk: Mendelian randomisation with pleiotropy dissection and independent replication

Hanke, S.

2026-10-15 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.10.14.26364960 medRxiv
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Background. Short telomeres are an established cause of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but the genetic evidence rests on seven instruments, six of which lie at telomere-maintenance loci, and so cannot separate an effect of telomere length from an effect of the telomerase pathway itself - a distinction that determines whether telomere length is a tractable target or only a marker of the pathway. Whether other measures of biological ageing share the effect, and whether accelerated ageing causes immune-mediated disease more generally, has not been tested systematically. Methods. Two-sample Mendelian randomisation of six ageing measures - GrimAge, PhenoAge, Hannum-age and intrinsic epigenetic age acceleration, proteomic age acceleration, and leukocyte telomere length - against six immune-mediated diseases in FinnGen R12: giant cell arteritis (GCA), polymyalgia rheumatica, primary Sjoegren's disease, interstitial lung disease (ILD), Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis. All 36 pairs were analysed in both directions using inverse-variance weighted (IVW), MR-Egger, weighted-median and weighted-mode estimators, with Cochran's Q, I2, leave-one-out and single-variant diagnostics, a pre-specified analysis excluding HLA-region instruments, and iterative Q-based outlier removal. Instruments were annotated against telomere-maintenance and pulmonary-fibrosis loci and that class excluded. Minimum detectable effects were computed for every pair before estimates were examined. Any pair surviving correction was re-estimated in two independent IPF case-control datasets. A two-step analysis tested mediation of ILD risk by seven gut microbial taxa acting through telomere length. Results. One of 36 forward pairs survived correction. Longer telomeres reduced ILD risk: outlier-robust IVW odds ratio (OR) 0.59 per standard deviation (SD), 95% CI 0.49-0.71, p = 2.7 x 10^-8, on 77 instruments, with no residual heterogeneity (I2 = 6%) and concordance across estimators. Four pleiotropic instruments - in TERT, TERC, APOE and ATM - inflated the unfiltered estimate to OR 0.46 (0.37-0.57) and accounted for all of its heterogeneity. The effect was reproduced in 5,159 clinician-diagnosed European IPF cases (OR 0.18, 0.12-0.25, p = 5.0 x 10^-23) and in 1,210 East Asian cases (OR 0.54, 0.35-0.83, p = 0.005). Excluding every telomere-maintenance and pulmonary-fibrosis locus left OR 0.26 (0.17-0.40), p = 1.6 x 10^-9, on 72 instruments, establishing that the effect does not depend on TERT or TERC. The effect was three times larger for clinically defined IPF than for the broad registry ILD endpoint (p = 1.8 x 10^-9), consistent with dilution of a fibrosis-specific mechanism by case mix. No methylation clock and no proteomic age measure affected any disease; smallest detectable ORs ranged from 1.29 to 5.24 per SD, so these nulls exclude only large effects. The reverse direction could not be tested at informative precision. One apparent clock-autoimmunity association was produced entirely by a single HLA-region instrument. Mediation was null at its first step. Conclusions. Telomere attrition causally increases fibrotic lung disease risk, with an effect that concentrates in clinically defined IPF and that survives removal of every telomere-maintenance locus - shown here for the first time - and is therefore attributable to telomere length rather than to the telomerase genes that dominate conventional instrument sets. Four methylation clocks and proteomic age acceleration show no such effect, so these measures cannot be treated as interchangeable proxies for biological ageing.

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Physical Activity Initiation and Incident Mobility Difficulty Among Older Adults: A Sequential Target Trial Emulation

Liang, J.

2026-10-15 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365469 medRxiv
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Although physical activity is associated with better physical functioning, the effects of initiating regular physical activity among older adults with persistent inactivity remain unclear. We conducted a sequential target trial emulation using Health and Retirement Study (HRS) data to estimate the effect of physical activity initiation versus noninitiation on incident mobility difficulty. Participants were included in the analysis if they were aged [&ge;]65 years at the previous wave, reported no regular physical activity at the previous two waves, and had no mobility, activities of daily living (ADL), or instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) difficulties at baseline. Stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to adjust for measured confounding. Weighted cumulative incidence was then estimated with death treated as a competing event, and risk differences were calculated at approximately 2, 4, and 6 years. At 2 years, the cumulative incidence of mobility difficulty was 32.75% among initiators and 39.73% among noninitiators, with a risk difference of -6.98 percentage points (95% CI, -13.11 to -0.88). At 4 and 6 years, risk differences were -2.90 percentage points (95% CI, -9.77 to 4.29) and -5.44 percentage points (95% CI, -12.27 to 1.99), respectively. Initiating regular moderate or vigorous physical activity was associated with a lower risk of incident mobility difficulty at approximately 2 years among older adults with persistent inactivity. This difference was less evident at later follow-up, and no clear differences were observed for incident ADL or IADL difficulty.

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Genetic Architecture of Plasma Amyloid and Tau Biomarkers in the Amish

Wang, P.; Jian, D. Z.; Song, Y. E.; Lynn, A.; Miskimen, K.; Whitehead, P. G.; Gulyayev, A. V.; Prough, M. B.; Dorfsman, D. A.; Laux, R. A.; Fuzzell, S. L.; Miller, D.; Hochstetler, S. D.; Miron, P.; Zaman, A. F.; Adams, L. D.; Caywood, L. J.; Clouse, J. E.; Herington, S. D.; Liu, Y.; Moore, N. C.; Ogrocki, P.; Lerner, A. J.; Griswold, A. J.; Cuccaro, M. L.; Vance, J. M.; Scott, W. K.; Pericak-Vance, M. A.; Haines, J. L.

2026-10-19 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365636 medRxiv
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Background: Plasma biomarkers offer a minimally invasive alternative for detecting Alzheimer disease (AD) pathology, yet the genetic determinants influencing their levels remain largely underexplored. Objective: To identify genetic variants associated with AD-related plasma biomarker levels in a Midwestern Amish cohort. Methods: We analyzed plasma levels of amyloid beta (A{beta}42/A{beta}40), phosphorylated tau 181 (p-tau181), and the p-tau181/A{beta}42 ratio in the Midwestern Amish. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) were used to examine associations with common genetic variants, while genetic linkage analysis was used to assess the potential impact of rare variants. Results: GWAS found associations between plasma biomarkers and the APOE gene. Additionally, novel candidate genes were implicated, including MME for A{beta}42/A{beta}40 ratio, and VEGFC and LRRTM4 for p-tau181. Linkage analysis identified significant signals for p-tau181 on chromosome 1, potentially involving the CSF1 and AHCYL1genes. Conclusions: The novel genetic variants associated with AD pathology implicate metabolic, synaptic, neuronal, and immune pathways. The use of GWAS and linkage analysis sheds light on the genetic architecture of AD-related plasma biomarkers.

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Memory Intraindividual Variability and its Association with Hippocampal Integrity in Older Latino Adults Without Dementia

Gonzalez, A. I.; Tristao-Pereira, C.; Martinez, L.; Ramirez, N. J.; Aquilino Silva, G.; Alcina, J.; Martinez, J. E.; Giudicessi, A.; Ku, V.; Rowe, M. C.; Ramirez-Gomez, L. A.; Saldana, D. G.; Quiroz, Y. T.

2026-10-19 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365658 medRxiv
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Introduction: Cognitive intraindividual variability (IIV), a measure of fluctuation in performance across time or tasks, is an emerging marker of cognitive decline. However, little is known about within-domain IIV in Latino adults. To address this gap, we examined memory IIV and hippocampal integrity in older Latino individuals. Methods: Sixty-seven participants from the Boston Latino Aging Study underwent cognitive testing and MRI. Linear regressions assessed whether memory IIV was associated with hippocampal volume and hippocampus-cingulum tract fractional anisotropy. Additional analyses evaluated associations using mean memory performance as the outcome. Results: Higher mean performance was associated with greater hippocampal volume (=0.24, p=.03), while memory IIV was not (=0.028, p=.84). Higher memory IIV was associated with lower fractional anisotropy in the hippocampus-cingulum tract (=-0.34, p<.01), while mean performance was not (=-0.07, p=.52). Discussion: Memory IIV may be more closely linked to hippocampal white matter, while mean memory performance may better reflect hippocampal volume.

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Phosphorylated Tau 217 Varies With Kidney Function Even Without Chronic Kidney Disease

Kang, M. J. Y.; Borchard, T.; Mielke, M. M.; Zetterberg, H.; Hopwood, M.; Mitchell, P. B.; Eratne, D.; Velakoulis, D.

2026-10-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.18.26365853 medRxiv
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Importance. Plasma phosphorylated tau 217 (p-tau217) is entering clinical use with fixed diagnostic threshold that do not account for kidney function. Chronic kidney disease (defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) below 60 mL/min/1.73 m2), raises plasma p-tau217 concentrations and can produce false positive results. It remains unclear whether milder reductions in kidney function, above the CKD threshold, have the same effect. Objective. To determine whether plasma p-tau217 is elevated with mildly reduced kidney function, above the chronic kidney disease threshold, in adults without neurological disease. Design. Cross-sectional analysis of a cohort enrolled between 2023 and 2025 and biomarker analysis blinded to clinical data. Setting. Two private psychiatric inpatient facilities in Australia. Participants. Adults admitted with psychiatric disorders and free of neurological disease. Exposures. eGFR calculated from serum creatinine using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Main Outcomes and Measures. Plasma p-tau217, neurofilament light chain (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), measured on the Simoa platform. Multivariable linear regression compared eGFR groups (< 60, 60 to 90, and [&ge;] 90 mL/min/1.73 m2), adjusted for age, BMI, and sex. Results. Among 180 participants (median age, 50.5 years [IQR, 38.0-61.5]; 94 [52%] female), eGFR was [&ge;] 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 in 106 (59%), 60 to 90 in 61 (34%), and < 60 in 13 (7.2%). Compared with an eGFR [&ge;] 90, plasma p-tau217 was 36% higher in both the 60 to < 90 group ({beta} = 0.42 [95% CI: 0.11, 0.74]; P = .008) and 116% higher in the < 60 group ({beta} = 1.05 [95% CI: 0.43, 1.72]; P = .002). Plasma NfL and GFAP were elevated in the < 60 group but differences in the 60 to < 90 group did not reach significance. Modelled continuously, plasma p-tau217 was 9.5% lower per 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 higher eGFR (95% CI: 3.3%, 15.4%). Conclusions and Relevance. Plasma p-tau217 was elevated in adults with mildly reduced kidney function, above the CKD threshold, in a cohort free of neurological disease. Kidney function across its full range should be incorporated into plasma p-tau217 reference ranges and clinical interpretation to reduce false positive and false negative results.

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Selective vulnerability of human basal forebrain subsystems in ageing and neuropsychiatric disorders

Eisenstein, T.; Hu, M. T.; Klein, J. C.

2026-10-15 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.13.26365385 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: The basal forebrain (BF) provides the principal cholinergic innervation to the cortex and the hippocampus and is among the earliest regions affected by neurodegenerative processes. Yet, whether its subnuclei differ in how their structural integrity changes with age and in their vulnerability to neurological and psychiatric disorders is unresolved. METHODS: Here, in 81,870 UK Biobank participants aged 45-87 years, we built age- and sex-specific normative models of grey-matter volume in the nucleus basalis of Meynert (Ch4) and the septal/diagonal-band (Ch1-3) compartments of the BF and derived individual deviation from these norms. We then tested the selectivity of their normative deviation profile across cross-sectional and longitudinal ageing, manifest neurological and psychiatric disorders, pre-diagnostic neurodegeneration, prospective disease incidence, and neuropsychiatric polygenic liability. RESULTS: The two compartments followed distinguishable age-related profiles across mid-to-late adulthood, which persisted when examined using longitudinal data. Deviation from norms was generally concentrated in Ch4 across neurological diseases and, in almost no condition, greater in the Ch1-3. The Ch4 deficit was further detectable years before diagnosis, was not substantially explained by common inherited genetic risk, and was linked with incident dementia and Parkinson's disease, whereas Ch1-3 carried no independent prospective structural vulnerability. DISCUSSION: These findings identify an anatomically specific age-related profile of the human BF, with structural vulnerability manifest and pre-diagnostic neurological disorders, which is not substantially explained by common inherited risk.

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Research attitudes mediate the association between educational attainment and willingness to participate in Alzheimer's disease research beyond Alzheimer's disease knowledge

Bonta, K. M.; Corbett, E.; Alemu, M. K.; Darge, B. D.; HIlderbrand, L. K.; Richardson, K. A.; Ogonuwe, S. S.; Blum, I. M.; Shen, K.; McGuire, M. K.; Pandhi, D. H.; Gallagher, L. W.; Hunter, J. M.; Grant, F.; Simmons, W.; Davis, L.; Shields, P.; Cooper, S.; Rouse, M.; Wilson-Lawson, K. S.; Hughes-Culp, C.; Howard, M.; Monroe, M.; Coleman, M.; Leath, D.; Butsch, J.; Davis, N.; Henry, J.; Gregory, P.; Grant, J. G.

2026-10-15 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.13.26365095 medRxiv
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INTRODUCTION: This study examined the extent to which educational attainment, Alzheimer's disease (AD) knowledge, and research attitudes are associated with willingness to participate in AD research, and whether AD knowledge and research attitudes mediate associations between educational attainment and willingness to participate. METHODS: 201 older adults completed self-report measures of AD knowledge, research attitudes, prior research participation, and willingness to participate in diagnostic procedures (neuropsychological assessment, blood draw, brain MRI) and non-pharmacological intervention research (tracking physical activity, aerobic exercise). RESULTS: Favorable research attitudes were consistently associated with greater willingness to participate across all proposed research activities, and research attitudes mediated the relationship between educational attainment and willingness to participate in research. In contrast, AD knowledge did not mediate the association between educational attainment and willingness to participate. DISCUSSION: Research attitudes may be a key, modifiable determinant of willingness to participate in AD research and a promising focus for broadening AD research participation.

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Blood-based PhenoAge may reflect disease burden rather than biological aging in cancer

Simhal, A. K.; Lee, J.; Tan, K. S.; McCormick, P. J.; Fischer, G. W.; Scarpa, J. R.; Sapiro, G.; Mincer, J. S.

2026-10-19 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365671 medRxiv
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PhenoAge, a blood-based biological aging clock, is associated with cancer outcomes, a finding taken as evidence that biological aging shapes prognosis. In 3,067 patients undergoing primary tumor resection, PhenoAge acceleration rose with tumor stage. One or two of its eight blood components, differing by cancer type, carried the prognostic signal, and replacing its general-population weights with equal weights did not weaken it. In cancer, PhenoAge may reflect disease burden rather than biological aging.

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Plasma neurofilament light links mortality to neuroaxonal injury beyond clinical decline and Alzheimer disease plasma biomarkers: a multi-cohort study of oldest old individuals

Lorenz, L. M. C.; Sikkes, S. A. M.; Heymans, M. W.; Hulsman, M.; Tesi, N.; Gouda, M.; Graat, M. J. I.; van der Hoorn, M. E.; Daatselaar, D. A. H.; Christensen, K.; Thinggaard, M.; Teunissen, C. E.; Holstege, H.

2026-10-19 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.17.26365798 medRxiv
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Blood-based neurofilament light (NfL) is associated with all-cause mortality, but whether this reflects neuroaxonal injury or overlaps with cognitive and functional decline remains unclear. We followed 559 individuals aged 92-107 from three oldest-old cohorts for up to 16 years: cognitively healthy Dutch centenarians and two population-based Danish cohorts. Plasma biomarkers (A{beta}42/40, A{beta}40, A{beta}42, pTau-181, pTau-181/A{beta}42, NfL, and GFAP; Dutch cohort; NfL, Danish cohorts), cognition, and activities of daily living (ADL) were evaluated against mortality. NfL was the only biomarker consistently associated with mortality (HR 1.21-1.38), whereas AD-specific biomarkers did not predict mortality despite reflecting post-mortem AD neuropathology. NfL remained associated with mortality independently of cognition and ADL; ADL mediated 13-21% across cohorts and cognition 28%, only where cognitive impairment was widespread. Mortality at extreme age is more closely linked to neuroaxonal injury than to upstream AD pathology, with NfL capturing biological vulnerability beyond cognitive and functional decline.